Stock market: Know the factors to determine movement between August 10 and 14
The Indian stock market is passing through an extended period of volatility. It is also the season for Q1 results and major companies such as HAL and Tata Motors will announce their quarterly results. Also factors such as India's CPI inflation data crude oil prices, FII/DII investment flow and the West Asia crisis will largely determine market movement.
The Indian stock market is passing through an extended period of volatility. It is also the season for Q1 results and major companies such as HAL and Tata Motors will announce their quarterly results. Also factors such as India's CPI inflation data crude oil prices, FII/DII investment flow and the West Asia crisis will largely determine market movement. Crude oil prices have been the single biggest factor determining the mood of the stock investors since thr outbreak of hostilities in the West Asia reion on February 28, 2026. (Picture Credit: depositphotos)Kolkata:The Indian stock market witnessed volatility this week as it has been doing for a prolonged period now. Investors weighed the implementation of the new Closing Auction Session (CAS) framework for F&O stocks, the Reserve Bank of India’s monetary policy decision and continued geopolitical uncertainty. The Sensex rose 0. 52% to reach 78,499. 17, while the Nifty rose 0. 77% to close at 24,570. 65. According to Ponmudi R, CEO of Enrich Money, the coming week is likely to be determined by two key themes: developments in West Asia and the July US inflation report. While Indian equities will continue to benefit from strong corporate earnings, improved foreign institutional flows, and supportive domestic liquidity. These factors could determine the marketQ1 Results FY27: The earnings season is set to continue this week as major companies like Vodafone Idea, RVNL, Hindustan Aeronautics, Tata Motors and Bharat Dynamics are set to release their April-June quarter (Q1FY27) in the coming week. Ajit Mishra, SVP, Research, Religare Broking, was quoted as saying, “The Q1 FY27 earnings season will gain further momentum, with several companies like Apollo Hospitals, Ashok Leyland, Bharat Forge, HAL, Tata Motors and Grasim Industries set to announce their quarterly results. ”July inflation of IndiaIndia’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) retail inflation data for July 2026 will be announced by the Ministry of Statistics and Program Implementation on August 12, 2026. Domestically, investors will closely monitor the July CPI inflation print, WPI inflation, and the latest foreign exchange reserves data for new insights into inflation trends and external sector stability. These releases will be particularly important following the RBI’s decision to maintain a neutral monetary policy stance, said Ajit Mishra. US-Iran war and the West Asia theatreIran has set new and significant conditions for reopening the Strait of Hormuz and the UAE reported that one of its ships was targeted by an Iranian missile. Meanwhile, Yemen’s military attacked Iran-backed Houthi rebels, and Turkey’s parliament approved a bill aimed at advancing the Kurdish peace process. The 60-day period for negotiating a final agreement is set to expire in a little over a week, although the deadline could still be extended. Iran has also indicated that it is close to a separate agreement with Oman on arrangements to manage navigation through the Strait of Hormuz, which exists between the two countries. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said on Saturday that Tehran is close to reaching an agreement on navigation, specifically on the designation of a transit route. However, he said that reopening the waterway would depend on the fulfillment of additional conditions and blamed the current situation on the US violation of the interim agreement. Crude oil pricesCrude oil prices have been a key determinant, perhaps the most significant one, since the war broke out between the SU and Iran. Brent crude oil prices rose more than $1 a barrel on Friday as uncertainty persisted over ongoing talks aimed at securing control of the strategically important Strait of Hormuz shipping route and helping it reopen. Brent crude futures rose $1. 06, or 1. 3%, to close at $83. 55 a barrel, while West Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures rose 89 cents, or 1. 15% to settle at $78. 18 a barrel. Oil prices fell earlier this week as hopes grew for a possible resolution to the conflict. However, prices have continued to fluctuate amid changing expectations since the US and Israel jointly attacked the country in late February, triggering a conflict that is now in its sixth month. FII flowsForeign Institutional Investors (FIIs) turned net buyers in Indian equities on Friday, halting their brief selling spree, according to provisional stock exchange data. FIIs bought shares worth Rs 12,941. 31 crore while selling equities worth Rs 12,461. 07 crore, marking a net investment of Rs 480. 24 crore during the session. Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) also maintained their buying momentum and recorded a net inflow of Rs 235. 56 crore, buying equities worth Rs 15,679. 58 crore and selling shares worth Rs 15,444. 02 crore. Deputy vice president, research, Bajaj Broking, Pabitro Mukherjee, the continued buying by both FIIs and DIIs was mainly due to the easing of geopolitical tensions, which strengthened investor confidence and created a positive sentiment in the market. (Disclaimer: This article is only meant to provide information. News9 does not recommend buying or selling shares or subscriptions of any IPO, Mutual Funds, precious metals, commodity, REITs, InvITs and any form of alternative investment instruments and crypto assets. )Avijit GhosalAvijit Ghosal has been writing on topics of business, industry and investment for the past three decades. He also writes on the broad economy, infrastructure and issues in banking. He has worked for economic dailies such as the Business Standard, The Economic Times, business magazines such as Business Today, English broadsheet the Hindustan Times and Bengali daily Anandabazar Patrika before joining TV9 Network. Read MoreLatest StoriesBSE SensexNiftyStock Market